The Golden Globes are on later tonight, where the Hollywood Foreign Press Association (HFPA) will vote for the best of 2012′s film and TV. The Daily Shift’s Eoghan Dalton gives his predictions on who’ll win what at tonight’s ceremony…
Best drama film: Argo; Django Unchained; Life of Pi ; Lincoln; Zero Dark Thirty.
Winner: Don’t expect a surprise here as it looks like the HFPA is favouring the man in the black top hat. Director Steven Spielberg has enough pull at these events to ensure this one comes through; this is also reflected in the bookies odds for the category, where Paddy Power has Lincoln placed well ahead at 4/11. Argo or Life of Pi may cause an upset but that is unlikely.
Best comedy or musical film: The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel; Les Miserables; Moonrise Kingdom; Salmon Fishing in the Yemen; Silver Linings Playbook.
Winner: I would love for Moonrise Kingdom to win here, however Wes Anderson’s tale of depressed, love struck adolescents seems set to be ignored for Les Miserables. Tom Hooper’s musical is expected to win here while Silver Linings Playbook takes the Best Actor Globe (the filthy socialists in the HFPA are devoted followers of the ”spread the wealth ”mantra”). Considering that the musicals Sweeney Todd, Chicago and Moulin Rouge have all won in recent years, there’s little fear of Les Mis doing the same.
Best director: Ben Affleck, Argo; Kathryn Bigelow, Zero Dark Thirty; Ang Li, Life of Pi; Steven Spielberg, Lincoln; Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained.
Winner: An interesting one we have here, where all the nominees are established directors and have a chance of walking away with the golden yoke. Affleck is the least experienced but gained much praise for his drama about CIA operatives rescuing hostages in Tehran; also, it won’t matter that he was snubbed for the Oscars as votes for the Globes were cast before last Thursday. So while Spielberg is the favourite, I’m going with Affleck to sneak away with a Best Director Globe
Best actor, drama: Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln; Richard Gere, Arbitrage; John Hawkes, The Sessions; Joaquin Phoenix, The Master; Denzel Washington, Flight.
Winner: It’s a no contest situation here; as much as I’d like to see Phoenix win for his bruising role in The Master, Day-Lewis has this one in his already overflowing bag.
Best actress, drama: Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty; Marion Cotillard, Rust & Bone; Helen Mirren, Hitchcock; Naomi Watts, The Impossible; Richard Weisz, The Deep Blue Sea.
Winner: Similar to the men’s category, Chastain should win here. She’s been steadily building up momentum with well chosen roles these past two years and this should culminate with recognition over the next few weeks at the major events, starting tonight.
Best actor, musical or comedy: Jack Black, Bernie; Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook; Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables; Ewan McGregor, Salmon Fishing In The Yemen; Bill Murray, Hyde Park On Hudson.
Winner: We’ve a showdown between Jackman and Cooper with Cooper likely to just prevail. There has been buzz around his performance for Silver Linings Playbook for the last six months, and that train hasn’t stopped. Expect tonight to be the latest stop before the Oscars.
Best actress, musical or comedy: Emily Blunt, Salmon Fishing In The Yemen; Judi Dench, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel; Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook; Maggie Smith, Quartet; Meryl Streep, Hope Springs.
Winner: Blunt has won four previous times but she’s almost certainly going home disappointed again as Lawrence has this category on a lock down much like Day-Lewis does in his.
Best supporting actor: Alan Arkin, Argo; Leonardo DiCaprio, Django Unchained; Philip Seymour Hoffman, The Master; Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln; Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained.
Winner: This is easily the tightest category as four of the nominees have a healthy opportunity to win (Arkin being the token). Based off the plaudits Jones has garnered he would be favourite; unfortunately Tommy Lee is a cantankerous fellow when dealing with the press so this should rule him out. Waltz scooped this award for Inglourious Basterds so the HFPA will look instead to DiCaprio or Hoffman; the former’s role is the kind of flashy, brazen part these ceremonies enjoy so he’s my bet to come out the victor here.
Best supporting actress: Amy Adams, The Master; Sally Field, Lincoln; Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables; Helen Hunt, The Sessions; Nicole Kidman, The Paperboy.
Winner: Few have seen Kidman’s The Paperboy (and fewer still have heard of it) while The Sessions is almost equally unknown. Out of the remaining three Hathaway is looking almost as certain as Day-Lewis and Lawrence. Combine this with the publicity surrounding her role and that she’s in a European film, unlike the other two American-centric films, the foreign journalists should give her the nod.
Best screenplay: Zero Dark Thirty; Lincoln; Django Unchained; Argo; Silver Linings Playbook.
Winner: Another close category; if we go by the spreading the wealth theory then Zero Dark Thirty or Django Unchained should pick up a trophy. Lincoln and Argo also have a strong chance of winning out though. I’m not sure which to go for, but I’d write down Zero on a betting slip if I had to.
Best series, drama: Boardwalk Empire, Breaking Bad, Downton Abbey, Homeland, The Newsroom.
Winner: The HFPA tends to nominate dramas that have Hollywood film stars in them, which explains the inclusion of The Newsroom, where the presence of Jeff Daniels was one of the few positives. It’s doubtful they’ll go so far as to choose it as an overall winner though. Boardwalk (which is after an awkward but entertaining season) and Homeland won the last two years, which might count against them, or not; Mad Men won this award three years consecutively. Downton Abbey is off the back of its weakest year which leaves us with Breaking Bad. Time is running out to award the show if the rumours are true about this year’s run being its last, so that may mean a win for Walter White and co. However, judging by how much it’s been ignored up to now, a repeat win for Homeland is the safe bet.
Best actor, drama: Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire; Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad; Jeff Daniels, The Newsroom; Jon Hamm, Mad Men; Damian Lewis, Homeland.
Winner: My case here is much the same as the one above; Cranston will continue to be dissed, Boardwalk‘s award winning chances are over, while Jon Hamm’s had his day in the sun. So it’s either an ultra-silly win for The Newsroom or Lewis wins by default. Please Jebus, let it be the latter.
Best actress, drama: Connie Britton, Nashville; Glenn Close, Damages; Claire Danes, Homeland; Michelle Dockery, Downton Abbey; Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife.
Winner: Likely to be another win for defending champion Danes to complete the clean sweep for Homeland.
Best series, musical or comedy: The Big Bang Theory, Episodes, Girls, Modern Family, Smash.
Winner: Girls should win, but it is going to come down to one of Modern Family or The Big Bang Theory. The show with Al Bundy should gather more votes than the one about the nerds.
Best actress, musical or comedy: Zooey Deschanel, New Girl; Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep; Lena Dunham, Girls; Tina Fey, 30 Rock; Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation.
Winner: For convenience sake, they should hand it to Fey or Poehler since they’ll be on stage when the Globe is handed out, due to them being hosts. All are deserving for solid seasons and I’m tempted to go with the living breathing pixie, Deschanel.
Best actor, musical or comedy: Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock; Don Cheadle, House of Lies; Louis C.K. Louie, Matt LeBlanc, Episodes; Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory.
Winner: Another tough section. LeBlanc is popular with the Foreign Press for Episodes, but Cheadle is thought to be a front runner due to him coming from the silver screen, so we might as well be lazy and go with him.
Best miniseries or movie: Game Change, The Girl, Hatfields & McCoys, The Hour, Political Animals.
Winner: The Foreign Press are sure to vote for Game Change, a political drama that’s about Sarah Palin’s failed bid for Vice President of America. It confirmed all the thoughts us Europeans harboured about the Alaskan and had critical darling Julianne Moore playing her as well.